Greenhouse Effect and Global Warming

Posted: 23-Oct-2003; Updated: 05-May-2005

HOW THE GREEHOUSE EFFECT WORKS

1. Most of the sun's energy reaches the Earth.
(The ozone layer shields the Earth from the sun's
harmful ultraviolet radiation.)2. About 30 percent
of the energy is reflected back into space.
3. Burning of fossil fuels and deforestation increase
carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Added to this are chlorofluorocarbons (human-made gases used in
spray cans, refrigerants and insulations) and
methane (from landfills, farming and swamps).
4. Together, these gases form a "blanket" which traps
energy, thus warming the Earth.

 Source: World Resources Institute, Changing Climate: A Guide to the Greenhouse Effect (1989).

One reason the Earth is warm enough to support life is that carbon dioxide and other gases in the upper atmosphere act as a kind of transparent umbrella, allowing sunlight to pass through and then trapping the heat below. This intricate but natural process is known as the greenhouse effect. With increased burning of coal, oil, and natural gas over the past century and with the destruction of much of the Earth's forest cover, the greenhouse effect may be intensifying. The burning of fossil fuels releases carbon dioxide, some of which is used by trees and other vegetation during photosynthesis and some of which is absorbed by the oceans. When vast amounts of carbon dioxide are being produced and less is being used by plants, however, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere increases. This accumulation of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases (methane, ozone, nitrous oxides, and chlorofluorocarbons) in Earth's atmosphere may be causing the average temperature around the globe to rise, a phenomenon referred to as "global warming."

With only 5 percent of the world's population, the United States produces 23.4 percent of the carbon dioxide released from burning fossil fuels.* The electric utility industry is responsible for an estimated 36 percent of all carbon dioxide emissions in the United States, while transportation accounts for another 30 percent.* Texas alone produces more carbon dioxide than either the United Kingdom or Canada.* Texas produces and uses more electricity than any other state in the country.* Texas utilities, depending heavily on fossil fuels, for example, contributed about 170 million metric tons of carbon dioxide in 1995, or about 30 percent of all greenhouses gases emitted in Texas. Without major changes in how Texas produces its energy, these levels are expected to continue.

The environmental implications of global warming are serious. Higher average temperatures could hasten melting of the polar ice caps, raising sea levels and distorting rainfall patterns. Coastal cities and plant and animal habitat could be destroyed. An alteration of climate could also reduce crop production. While certain areas of the Earth might actually benefit from global warming, others would suffer disastrous effects.

In Texas, climatic changes predicted as a result of global warming could profoundly alter how Texans live and work. In Dallas, for example, if the predictions of the Panel on Climate Change are true, the number of days when the temperature reaches 100 degrees F could increase from 19 to 78 per year by 2050. In Central Texas, average temperatures could go up 5 degrees during the same period.* Water availability might also be affected. Rainfall would decline in most areas of, and the hotter temperatures would increase the rate of evaporation, resulting in a reduced water supply. Coastal areas, however, would likely face more intense rainfall, as clouds forming from increased evaporation of ocean waters give rise to more violent storms. Low-level areas along the coast could be subject to more flooding from increased rainfall and rising sea levels.  Texas may, however, also derive some positive benefits from warmer annual temperatures. One of these effects is that milder winters may reduce the risk of freezes that cripple citrus crops.*

GREENHOUSE GASES AND THEIR SOURCES

GAS

SOURCE

LIFE SPAN

Carbon dioxide (CO2)

Fossil fuels, deforestation, soil destruction

500 years

Methane (CH4)

Cattle, biomass, rice paddies, gas leaks, mining, termites

7-10 years

Nitrous oxide (N2O)

Fossil fuels, soil cultivation, deforestation

140-190 years

Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs 11 and 12)

Refrigeration, air conditioning, aerosols, foam blowing, solvents

65-110 years

Ozone and other trace gases

Photochemical processes, cars, power plants, solvents

Hours to days in upper troposphere

Source: World Resources Institute, The 1994 Information Please Environmental Almanac (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Co., 1994), 344.

There is considerable debate about the phenomenon of global warming. Scientists like James Hansen, of NASA's Goddard Institute, believe that the Earth is already experiencing an enhanced greenhouse effect. For example, seven of the ten hottest years in recorded history occurred in the past ten years.* And studies have shown a correlation between the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and a rise in global temperature.* Critics like Richard Lindzen of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology believe that, while carbon dioxide accumulation may lead to warming climates, the actual impacts of warming will be mitigated by other factors. For instance, the increase in soot, sulfuric acid, and particulate matter in the atmosphere, which help scatter light away from the Earth, may be counteracting temperature increases that would otherwise occur from the accumulation of greenhouse gases. Still other scientists believe that temperature fluctuations are a normal occurrence, attributable to such events as sun spots, and that techniques for measuring temperature are not accurate enough to permit scientists to design proper models of global temperature.

Overall, global temperatures have increased about 1 degree F in the past 130 years, half of that in the past 40 years. A body of 2,000 scientists around the globe known as the United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has projected that by the year 2100, the average surface temperature will increase an additional 3.5 degrees F from 1990 levels.* The effects of these increases would be felt unevenly around the globe, with temperature changing less at the equator than at higher latitudes.

To delay or prevent global warming, world and national leaders have called for a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions, to be accomplished through a shift away from the use of oil, gas, and coal and toward the use of more renewable energy sources like solar power. The 1992 Rio treaty on climate change committed signatory nations to begin negotiations toward cutting greenhouse gas emissions.

In December 1997 most of the world's nations hammered out a world agreement in Kyoto, Japan, that established limits and phased in reductions on the release of several greenhouse gases.* The agreement commits the developed nations - including the United States - to an 11 percent reduction in greenhouse gases over 1990 levels by 2010, but it does not determine what, if any, reductions developing nations must make, nor does it spell out exactly how the developed nations will make reductions. In addition, in 2001, the new Bush administration announced to the consternation of most nations that it would not seek ratification of the agreement or to begin cutting carbon dioxide emissions as many had hoped. Many of the developed countries which signed the agreement are developing emission reduction plans.

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